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The role of voluntary carbon credits in corporate climate commitments

Business leaders are making ever-higher goals to cut the global greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions there is a market that could help in achieving these goals by assisting firms’ efforts to reduce their own carbon emissions. This is the rapid growth market for carbon credits, which are voluntary.

Carbon credits (often called “offsets”) are a key component of carbon credits. They have an important double function in the fight for climate-related change. They allow companies to contribute to the decarbonization of their carbon footprint, thus speeding up the process of transitioning to low-carbon development. They also help finance projects for removal of carbon dioxide from the atmosphere–delivering negative emissions, which will be needed to neutralize residual emissions that will persist even under the most optimistic scenarios for decarbonization. Although the market for carbon credits that are voluntary is gaining significant growth, it remains very tiny. The newly released report of the Taskforce on Scaling Voluntary Carbon Markets seeks to develop an outline of solutions that can help overcome the obstacles that hinder its expansion. This article will provide an explanation of how carbon credits function and how they could aid in the global fight against climate change.

The dual function of carbon credits to combat climate change

Carbon credits are an official certificate that represents one metric tons in carbon dioxide equivalent which can be kept from being released into the atmosphere (emissions reduction or avoidance) or eliminated from the atmosphere as a consequence of a carbon-reduction program. In order for a carbon reduction project to earn carbon credits it must be able to prove that the emissions decreases, or the carbon dioxide eliminations are genuine, quantifiable and permanent, as well as independently verified and unique (see the section on “Criteria to be able to issue carbon credit”). If the project is in compliance with these requirements–as defined by standards that are independent, like Gold Standard and Verified Carbon Standard (VCS)–credits are granted. The effect of a carbon credit can be claimed only–that is, it counts towards climate-related commitments–once the credit is removed (canceled through an official registry) following which it is no longer available for sale. A carbon credit is deemed as a “voluntary carbon credit” when it is purchased and resold on a basis of voluntary instead of as part of the process of ensuring compliance in accordance with the legal obligation.

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The profits generated by the sales of carbon credits allow the creation of carbon reduction projects in many different projects. They include renewable energy, avoiding emissions resulting from fossil fuels as well as natural climate solutions like reforestation, avoiding deforestation, or agroforestry efficiency in energy use and resource recovery, for example, eliminating methane emissions from landfills and wastewater facilities; and many more.

Although the majority of these projects varieties, including renewable energy, avoidance of deforestation, and recovery of resources concentrate on reducing carbon emissions, other types like reforestation are focused on removing CO2 from our atmosphere. This is a significant distinction and demonstrates the two-fold importance that carbon credits from voluntary sources could play in tackling climate change

In the short-term in the short-term, carbon credits earned through voluntary projects that focus on reducing or eliminating emissions could help speed up the transition towards a carbon-free global economy, for instance by promoting investment in green energy sources, efficiency in energy use along with natural capital. Eliminating emissions is usually the most cost-effective way to reduce greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere.

In the medium – to long-term, carbon credits may be a key factor in accelerating the removal of carbon dioxide (or negative emission) necessary to reduce emissions that are not reduced further. In a recent study we found that at minimum 5 gigatons of emissions would be required each year to reach zero net emissions in 2050. They could be accomplished through a mix and a combination of climate-related solutions from nature, such as forest reforestation (for instance, storing carbon from trees) and emerging carbon capture and storage and use like direct air capture and carbon storage (DACCS) and bioenergy that uses carbon storage and capture (BECCS). Carbon credits that are voluntary can help in the financing of the expansion of these strategies.

The role of carbon credits in climate commitments of corporations

A credible commitment to climate change by a company starts by setting an emissions reduction goal that covers the indirect and direct greenhouse gas emissions. If an organization does not possess an emission baseline to establish a target making one is a must first step.

The alignment of a target’s ambition to the most current climate science is generally regarded as the best method. This means that the goal should match the degree of decarbonization that is required to keep global warming less than 2.25 degree Celsius over preindustrial temperatures. At a minimum, it should at a minimum, be in line with the 1.5-degree route that scientists believe will decrease the likelihood of triggering the most harmful and irreparable consequences from climate change. This Science Based Targets Initiative has come up with methods to set targets that have already been adopted by over 1,000 businesses, including a number of major multinationals. To attain the required emission reductions, businesses can make use of levers like improving efficiency of energy, switching to renewable energy and addressing emissions from the value chain.

In the following stage, a company could agree to a goal that requires the use of carbon credits to either compensate for emissions it hasn’t been able yet to eliminate or to offset residual emissions that can’t be reduced because of prohibitive costs or technical limitations. These kinds of targets are available with a variety of names (for instance the carbon-neutral, neutral climate net-zero carbon negative and climate positive) however, they all require a company to supplement reductions within its carbon footprint with other reductions through the purchase and redemption of carbon credits that are voluntary (see the section on sidebars, “Types of carbon targets”). In reducing its emissions by this method the company can claim that it has reduced its effect on the environment. Certain companies, like Microsoft have gone even further, setting goals to have a net-positive effect upon the environment.

The momentum is strong, mostly driven by new corporate commitments as well as points-of-sale products

After three years of booming growth and a booming market for carbon, the voluntary carbon market was at a record-high in 2019 as well as issuances as well as retirements (exhibit). Issues included 138 million tons of carbon dioxide equivalent–a little more than double volume of 2018 and retirements reached 70 million, which is a 33 percent increase over the year prior. This increase has been fueled by a mix of new corporate climate commitments, including the ones to carbon neutrality as well as net-zero. There are also what is known as “point point of sale” offering of carbon credits such as Shell’s carbon neutral fuel, which is a retail product of gasoline, carbon credits. It also includes the passenger offset programs of airlines that allow passengers to offset their carbon emissions from their flights via Shell’s site.

Based on year-to date volumes and an extrapolation that is in line with the historical patterns of seasonality and trends, we anticipate the market to set yet another record in 2019 in which issuances and retires each growing by about one-third over the course of the year prior. After years of falling rates (from an average of about $7/ton in 2008 to about three dollars per ton for 2019) because of the oversupply that is outpacing demand, we are expecting average prices to rise in the near and medium time frame, mostly due to a strong increase in demand especially for high-cost projects such as reforestation, and carbon dioxide removal projects generally (see the sidebar under “Issuances as well as retirees”). Although still quite tiny, the voluntary carbon market is currently gaining acceleration and its effect (and the potential for future growth) is attracting more attention.

The Natural Climate Solutions (NCS) is a class that includes project types like the reforestation process, avoiding deforestation better forest management, and Agroforestry, has grown more rapidly than any other project type and significantly influenced the market’s voluntary carbon trend. Between 2016 and 2019, issuances within the NCS category increased by more than doubling each year on average, and in the year 2019, NCS accounted for 53 percent of the total issued. Additionally, retirements in this sector have also increased (close to 50% annually, in average). This may be due to an increased awareness of NCS’s potential (they can provide a third of the reductions in emissions needed to comply with the Paris Agreement between now and 2030) as well as a rising interest in carbon dioxide reduction (of of which NCS offers the highest cost effective, technologically tested method) as well as customers’ preferences for benefits that go beyond mitigation of climate change, for example, biodiversity and impacts on local communities.